TI
TripAdvisor, Inc. (TRIP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 delivered in-line revenue and a clear EPS beat: revenue was $0.529B (+7% y/y), non-GAAP EPS $0.46 vs S&P Global consensus $0.43*, and adjusted EBITDA $107M (20.2% margin), exceeding internal expectations on better marketplace efficiencies .
- Mix continues shifting toward experiences and dining: Viator grew 11% y/y to $270M with bookings +15% and GBV ~$1.3B; TheFork grew 28% y/y to $54M with EBITDA margin 16% .
- Brand Tripadvisor remains pressured (revenue -3% y/y), with persistent free-traffic headwinds offset by paid channel optimization and product improvements; adjusted EBITDA margin diluted to 27% from 33% y/y on higher paid mix .
- Outlook: Q3 guide calls for 4–6% revenue growth and 19–21% adj. EBITDA margin; FY25 guidance maintained at 5–7% revenue growth and 16–18% adj. EBITDA margin; management expects Viator revenue growth to reaccelerate in Q4 .
- Capital and shareholder return: cash and equivalents ~$1.2B; repurchased ~2.8M shares for $40M (avg. $14.22) with $160M remaining authorization; completed LTRIP merger and retired ~53.1M treasury shares in April, simplifying capital structure .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Experiences momentum: Viator bookings +15% with adj. EBITDA up to $32M (11.9% margin) from $10M; TheFork revenue +28% and margin to 16.2% on operating leverage .
- Profitability beat: consolidated adjusted EBITDA $107M (20.2% margin) exceeded expectations, driven by marketplace efficiencies, especially at Viator .
- Strategic coordination and AI: management highlighted early gains from coordinated marketing and product tests between Tripadvisor and Viator, and ongoing AI-led improvements to search, recommendations, and app experiences (“AI embedded at our core”) .
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What Went Wrong
- Brand Tripadvisor headwinds: segment revenue -3% y/y to $242M; media & advertising -13% y/y amid traffic and ad market softness; experiences & dining within Brand -7% y/y .
- Mix and channel pressure: Brand margins compressed as paid channels took greater share vs free traffic; management acknowledged persistent free-traffic headwinds .
- Revenue growth deceleration dynamics at Viator near term: revenue growth trailed bookings growth given higher 3P merchant mix (lower ABV and implied take rate) and June bookings softness (with July improvement; reacceleration expected in Q4) .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L snapshot (GAAP unless noted)
Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Operating expense mix – Q2 2025
Segment revenue and profitability
KPIs and sub-segment details
Cash flow and capital
- Operating cash flow: $202M; Free cash flow: $177M in Q2 (boosted by lapping 2024 IRS settlement cash outflow) .
- Cash & equivalents: ~$1.2B at June 30, 2025 .
- Share repurchases: ~2.8M shares at $14.22, totaling $40M; $160M authorization remaining .
- Leverage/liquidity: Term Loan B $350M raised in Q1 to address 2026 converts; plan to repay before maturity .
Guidance Changes
Notes: Management expects Viator revenue growth to reaccelerate in Q4; H2 coordination across Trip/Viator to be consolidated EBITDA neutral while shifting profit between segments .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We’re better positioned than anyone to win in experiences… with AI embedded at our core.” — Matt Goldberg, CEO .
- “Adjusted EBITDA… exceeded expectations, primarily due to more favorable marketing efficiencies at Viator.” — Mike Noonan, CFO .
- “We will continue to make investment decisions that… benefit our combined experience revenue growth… neutral on a consolidated adjusted EBITDA basis.” — Mike Noonan on H2 coordination .
- “App users and members using the app are both growing… adding a rewards program… and in-app hotel bookings with good conversion.” — Matt Goldberg on app strategy .
Q&A Highlights
- Brand free-traffic headwinds and stabilization outlook: Management acknowledged persistence and is prioritizing efficiencies and coordinated execution; too early to call 2026 stabilization, but planning is underway .
- Viator channel mix and Q4 reacceleration: 3P merchant channels are immediately profitable, incremental, and often ex-NA; bookings softness in June improved in July; expecting Q4 revenue reacceleration .
- App/membership monetization: Significant app revamp with AI trip builder and rewards; rollout in US with plans to expand; early marketing shows strong ROAS .
- FY guide unchanged: Puts/takes include Brand free-traffic pressure vs strong Viator bookings; FX and cancellation dynamics embedded in outlook .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $0.529B vs $0.530B* (in line); Non-GAAP EPS $0.46 vs $0.43* (beat). Primary EPS estimate count: 14; Revenue estimate count: 15.*
- Historical comparison: TRIP also beat S&P revenue and EPS in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025; Q1 revenue $0.398B vs $0.388B*, EPS $0.14 vs $0.051*; Q4 revenue $0.411B vs $0.400B*, EPS $0.30 vs $0.213*.*
- Forward color: Q3 guided to 4–6% revenue growth; S&P shows Q4 2025 revenue estimate ~$0.412B*; management expects Viator growth to reaccelerate in Q4 .
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Experiences-led mix shift is intact and accelerating; Q2 showed healthy bookings growth and margin expansion at Viator, with TheFork delivering strong growth and leverage .
- Brand Tripadvisor remains the swing factor; free traffic headwinds persist, but paid channel optimization, app, and membership investments are showing early positive signals and should improve unit economics over time .
- H2 strategy: Expect profitability mix shifts between brands but consolidated EBITDA neutrality; Viator revenue growth should reaccelerate in Q4, while Q3 margins guide to 19–21% .
- Balance sheet/capital return: ~$1.2B cash offers flexibility to repurchase shares and address 2026 converts; recent LTRIP merger and share retirement simplify governance and share count mechanics .
- Near-term trading setup: EPS beats, maintained FY guide, and an H2 reacceleration narrative in experiences are supportive; watch Brand free-traffic trends, 3P mix implications for Viator take rates, and FX/cancel dynamics .
- Medium-term thesis: Coordinated Trip/Viator execution and AI-driven product improvements can expand margins at scale; Brand stabilization plus experiences leadership underpins multi-year revenue and EBITDA growth targets (FY25 maintained; 2026 inflection reiterated previously) .